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What the latest polling says about Boris Johnson’s chance of survival

More than half of people think Boris Johnson should resign as Prime Minister, according to a poll carried out after the publication of the Sue Gray report. The damning report listed all the occasions events were held in Downing Street including the events the Prime Minister personally attended.

You can see all the updates from the report here. Speaking in the Commons after it was published, the Prime Minister re-iterated his apology and said he had been “humbled” by the report’s findings. You can see what he told MPs here.

Pollsters YouGov carried out a snap poll after the report was published and found 59% of Brits think Mr Johnson should quit as Prime Minister. It includes around a quarter (27%) of 2019 Conservative voters. Three in ten (30%) Britons say that the PM should remain in his role, rising to almost two-thirds (63%) of 2019 Conservative voters. The poll asked 2,748 adults.

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Despite this, just 7% of Britons think that the Prime Minister will resign, with more than eight in 10 (83%) believing that he will remain in his role. The proportion who think that he will resign includes just 6% of 2019 Conservative voters and 6% of 2019 Labour voters.

Three-quarters (74%) say that he did, with around one in eight (13%) saying that he did not. Among 2019 Conservative voters, half (51%) think that Johnson knowingly lied.




What about the betting odds?

William Hill has odds of 3/1 that he will leave office in 2022 and 5/2 in 2023.

Paddy Power has odds that he will be replaced this year of 2/1 and 3/1 for next year. Liz Truss and Jeremy Hunt are both joint favourites to take over from him. Both have odds of 5/1.

Sky Bet has odds of 6/4 for Mr Johnson to be replaced as Prime Minister. Liz Truss is favourite to be replaced with odds of 11/2.

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